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Cooler Toronto Market Holds Steady Through Summer

HIGHER INTEREST RATES LEAD TO FEWER HOME SALES

  • Higher borrowing costs, continued uncertainty about the economy and Bank of Canada decision making, and the constrained supply of listings resulted in fewer home sales in August 2023 compared to August 2022. The average selling price remained virtually unchanged over the same period.
  • New listings were up by 16.2 per cent year-over-over, providing some relief on the supply front, but year-to-date listings are still down substantially compared to the same period last year. Seasonally adjusted sales were down slightly by one per cent month-over-month compared to July 2023, while new listings were up slightly by 1.3 per cent compared to July.
  • In the broader Greater Toronto Area (GTA) Markets, sales were down slightly as compared to August 2022, signalling a cooler summer market.

RESIDENTIAL STATS

Total Residential Transactions Average Selling Price Total New Listings Residential Property Days on Market

CONDO PRICES SOFTEN AND SALES PICK UP

  • High interest rates has put downward pressure on condominium prices (down 4.2% compared to Q2 last year) and sales have simultaneously picked up (increased by 20.7% compared to Q2 last year)
  • The constraint of new listing is keeping a steady flow of sales in the condo market, but not creating a frenzy within the condominium market with listings taking slightly longer to sell than during the same period last year (20 days on market vs. 15 days on market during Q2 last year).
  • Condominium rentals are up on all fronts, including number of rentals, price and new listings coming to market.

CONDOMINIUM SALES STATS

Total Condo Apartment Sales Total New Listings Condo

CONDOMINIUM RENTAL STATS

Apartment Rental Stats

COMMERCIAL STATS

All Leasing Activity

The “All Leasing Activity (Sq. Ft.)” chart summarizes total industrial, commercial/retail and office square feet leased through Toronto MLS® regardless of pricing terms.
The “All Sales Activity” chart summarizes total industrial and commercial/retail and office sales through Toronto MLS® regardless of pricing terms.

Average Leasing Rates Commercial

In conjunction with the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) redistricting project, historical data may be subject to revision moving forward. This could temporarily impact per cent change comparisons to data from previous years.

Distinctive Real Estate Advisors Inc., Brokerage is pleased to present a recap of the latest market forecast release and August highlights from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB).

We’d welcome an opportunity to discuss the Cooler Toronto Market Holds Steady Through Summer. If you have any questions about our services, please contact our team.

2016 Change to Mortgage Qualifying Rules for First-Time Home Buyers — Explained

You might remember an uproar regarding real estate in October 2016, but what was that all about?

Without notice or preparation, the Canadian government announced on October 3rd, 2016 several major changes to mortgage rules aimed at curbing high demand in two of the country’s fastest growing markets — Toronto and Vancouver.

Bank of Canada implemented what they call a “stress test” for first-time buyers, forcing them to qualify for their mortgages at the Bank of Canada posted rate or 4.64% rather than the actual mortgage rates, reducing buying power for first-time home buyers across the board.

Why?

This was a very clear message from the Bank of Canada that interest rates would soon start rising, and true to form, they’ve already started. Since first-time home buyers often stretch their budgets and take on more than they can afford (and many lenders don’t prevent this from happening) this is the government’s way of protecting our housing market from a potential crash as a result of rising interest rates.

What’s the actual impact? (view the CBC article here)

Although this may temporarily slow the market in some areas, this move is expected to have positive ripple effects on the economy and is a much needed shifting of the winds for Canada.

In 2016, a mere 33 percent of individuals looking to purchase a home were first-time home buyers and in 2017, stats are showing over 50 percent of people with an eye for the home buying market will be first time purchasers. Even more astounding, over 60 percent of those buyers are under the age of 35. 2017 will most likely be the year that the Millennials begin their real estate takeover and the market will never be the same.

Looking for your first home or know someone who is? Contact a member of our team today to learn how we can help you with your real estate transaction and mortgage financing needs.

Toronto Real Estate Update – April 2016

At the beginning of 2016, The Toronto Real Estate Board (“TREB”) outlook for the year pointed to a strong possibility of a second consecutive record year for home sales. This outlook was based, in part, on upbeat consumer survey results pointing to robust home buying intentions.

With Toronto recently having been named the best city to live in on a worldwide scale, Toronto is attracting many new residents from around the world, further driving real estate sale volumes and pricing.

The positive annual growth in sales was not mirrored on the listings front. The number of new listings entered into TREB’s MLS® System during March and the first quarter were down compared to the same period in 2015.

The supply of listings continues to aggravate many would-be home buyers. Toronto could have experienced even stronger sales growth if it had not been constrained by supply of listings, especially in the low-rise market segments. Jason Mercer, TREB’s Director of Market Analysis reported recently that the resulting strong competition between buyers has underpinned the double-digit rates of price growth experienced so far this year.

What’s going on in the Toronto Condo Market?

With continued price increases in the single-family Toronto real estate housing market, homes are unaffordable for many Toronto families. But many young professionals with smaller families don’t have a surplus of time to commute from the GTA to the downtown employment hub.  This reality is pressuring young families to live and work in downtown Toronto and to consider condo living as a viable option. More condo developers are now creating 2 + Den and 3 bedroom condos as part of their new developments to cater to this market.

What’s going on in the Toronto Housing Market?

With our prevailing and forecasted low Canadian Dollar and mortgage interest rates, coupled with the increased popularity of Toronto on a worldwide scale, the Toronto Housing Market continues to be red hot. Foreign investment is pouring in from Western countries.  As compared to other popular cities around the world, Toronto is still an affordable option for foreign investors and Canada is a safe place for their funds.

What are people looking for?

Location is a big driver for many buyers looking for new property. Homes that are in great, central neighbourhoods with big lots will command top dollar in the coming year, especially ones that have been upgraded to include modern finishes and contain live/work space such as a home office. Homes that have been upgraded well are commanding multiple offers in many areas in central Toronto.

Toronto Housing Market Snapshot

In summary, TREB announced a record-breaking first quarter for home sales in 2016 in the City of Toronto, with home sales up 15.8 per cent from Q1 2015.

In the month of March:

  • Sales were up 16.2 per cent over March 2015
  • Prices were up 12.1 per cent over March 2015
  • Less new listings were available than March 2015

Demand was not an issue, with many eager buyers looking for properties. Even though home sales were strong, they were constricted by limited supply.

GraphicsForAprilMarketUpdate2016ForWeb

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